One structural language, read across many assets.
BTC is the live instance; the other assets are captured as a research shadow from free, no-key public sources. Links below are magnitude lead-lag couplings of structural state — not price direction. Pooling into one shared model hurts; breadth's benefit is faster evidence, not more skill.
Lead-lag constellation as-of 2026-07-24T15:16:20.027400+00:00
Pooling verdict
HURTS
Pooling all assets into one shared model HURTS vs per-asset models (log-loss). Breadth's real benefit is FASTER evidence accumulation, not more skill.
Faster-evidence factor
1.85×
correlation-discounted from naïve 8×; mean off-diag |corr| 0.476; 1.85 effective independent assets.
Structure stability
0.0394
structure is relatively stable (small mean reorganization)
Top structural lead-lag couplings (magnitude, non-directional)
| lead | follows | |corr| |
|---|---|---|
| BTC | ETH | 0.536 |
| BNB | ETH | 0.526 |
| ETH | BNB | 0.520 |
| ETH | BTC | 0.516 |
| ADAUSDT | SOL | 0.499 |
| DOGEUSDT | ADAUSDT | 0.494 |
| BNB | SOL | 0.493 |
| ADAUSDT | DOGEUSDT | 0.491 |
| SOL | BNB | 0.490 |
| SOL | ADAUSDT | 0.484 |
| ADAUSDT | ETH | 0.479 |
| ETH | ADAUSDT | 0.479 |
Pooled vs per-asset skill, per horizon (negative log-loss delta = pooling worse)
| horizon | anchors | verdict | ΔLL vs per-asset | Δacc vs per-asset | ΔLL vs climatology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23225 | hurts | +0.05664 | -0.02093 | -0.08717 |
| 3 | 23209 | hurts | +0.05669 | -0.01491 | -0.07427 |
Target T1_VOL_REGIME; assets: ADAUSDT (DEEP) · BNB (DEEP) · BTC (DEEP) · DOGEUSDT (DEEP) · ETH (DEEP) · LINKUSDT (DEEP) · SOL (DEEP) · XRP (DEEP). Lead-lag at lag 1, stride 63, 51 seals.
source: reproduce_leg/…/CROSS_ASSET_SUMMARY.json
Per-asset channel coverage FRESH
Live BTC fleet snapshot: FRESH
| Asset | channels | FRESH | STALE | UNAVAILABLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ERAUSDT | 30 | 26 | 0 | 4 |
| BNB | 26 | 23 | 0 | 3 |
| XRP | 25 | 23 | 0 | 2 |
| AVAXUSDT | 25 | 23 | 0 | 2 |
| ETH | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| ADAUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| LINKUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| DOGEUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| SOL | 24 | 22 | 1 | 1 |
| PAXGUSDT | 24 | 20 | 0 | 4 |
| UNIUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| NEARUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| AAVEUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| DEXEUSDT | 24 | 20 | 0 | 4 |
| SUIUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| WLDUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| ONDOUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| PUMPUSDT | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 |
| BANKUSDT | 24 | 20 | 0 | 4 |
| IDOLUSDT | 24 | 17 | 0 | 7 |
| VELVETUSDT | 24 | 20 | 0 | 4 |
| LABUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| ONUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| ZAMAUSDT | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| ZECUSDT | 22 | 21 | 0 | 1 |
| RIFUSDT | 22 | 15 | 1 | 6 |
| ENAUSDT | 22 | 21 | 0 | 1 |
| HYPEUSDT | 22 | 21 | 0 | 1 |
| KAITOUSDT | 22 | 21 | 0 | 1 |
| LAUSDT | 22 | 21 | 0 | 1 |
| ESPORTSUSDT | 22 | 20 | 0 | 2 |
| WLFIUSDT | 22 | 21 | 0 | 1 |
| REUSDT | 22 | 21 | 0 | 1 |
| 1000PEPEUSDT | 21 | 19 | 0 | 2 |
| AKEUSDT | 21 | 17 | 0 | 4 |
| BEATUSDT | 21 | 20 | 0 | 1 |
| 2023-05-03 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| history_start | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2017-08-17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2017-11-06 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018-04-17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018-05-04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-01-16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-03-21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-07-05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-08-11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-08-28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-09-17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-09-22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-10-14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-10-15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-01-07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-07-23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-07-24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-01-20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-04-02 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-12-05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-02-20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-04-11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-05-08 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-06-05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-07-04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-07-15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-07-29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Channel rows (60 of 885)
| channel | asset | rows | span (UTC) | sha256 | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| binance/fundingRate_history | ETH | 7294 | 2019-11-27..2026-07-24 | e5b8eaab25510eb8… |
FRESH |
| binance/globalLongShortAccountRatio_1d | ETH | 30 | 2026-06-25..2026-07-24 | 24f76db39affd3f9… |
FRESH |
| binance/globalLongShortAccountRatio_1h | ETH | 500 | 2026-07-03..2026-07-24 | 5432cc12eb6e5acb… |
FRESH |
| binance/openInterestHist_1d | ETH | 30 | 2026-06-25..2026-07-24 | a96eef5a38d0f6fe… |
FRESH |
| binance/openInterestHist_4h | ETH | 180 | 2026-06-24..2026-07-24 | 8d7b1e8c74111a52… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_15m | ETH | 1000 | 2026-07-13..2026-07-24 | 6a032bee1591f03a… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_1d | ETH | 3264 | 2017-08-17..2026-07-24 | 2321234c4398fe2e… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_1h | ETH | 17520 | 2024-07-24..2026-07-24 | 63b5f5f42afc6499… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_1m | ETH | 1000 | 2026-07-23..2026-07-24 | 558b0e4bbf63bd8f… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_4h | ETH | 6570 | 2023-07-25..2026-07-24 | de1ab45560b169a3… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_5m | ETH | 1000 | 2026-07-20..2026-07-24 | a68d0976e0256bca… |
FRESH |
| binance/takerlongshortRatio_1d | ETH | 30 | 2026-06-24..2026-07-23 | edcfe7ebb630d242… |
FRESH |
| binance/takerlongshortRatio_1h | ETH | 500 | 2026-07-03..2026-07-24 | 4744e6614255059c… |
FRESH |
| binance/topLongShortAccountRatio_1d | ETH | 30 | 2026-06-25..2026-07-24 | bd6ff34980f5615e… |
FRESH |
| binance/topLongShortPositionRatio_1d | ETH | 30 | 2026-06-25..2026-07-24 | 86576d548f7856da… |
FRESH |
| bybit/fundingRate_history | ETH | 6307 | 2020-10-21..2026-07-24 | c3255b2e95145e23… |
FRESH |
| bybit/open_interest_1d | ETH | 2102 | 2020-10-22..2026-07-24 | 50696781342123b2… |
FRESH |
| bybit/open_interest_4h | ETH | 12612 | 2020-10-21..2026-07-24 | 77464083a4fca483… |
FRESH |
| dvol_eth_1d | ETH | 1949 | 2021-03-24..2026-07-24 | ee90e80c7fdd30ac… |
FRESH |
| index_price_eth_usd | ETH | 1 | 2026-07-24..2026-07-24 | abd761f90334f884… |
FRESH |
| okx/fundingRate_history_ETH_USDT_SWAP | ETH | 283 | 2026-04-21..2026-07-24 | 511242f5949025fc… |
FRESH |
| okx/long_short_account_ratio | ETH | 180 | 2026-01-25..2026-07-23 | 26ab61450267161d… |
FRESH |
| okx/open_interest_history_rubik | ETH | 180 | 2026-01-25..2026-07-23 | 1f89b4735e2f00fd… |
FRESH |
| onchain/* | ETH | 0 | - | -… |
DATA_LIMITED |
| binance/fundingRate_history | BNB | 7069 | 2020-02-10..2026-07-24 | 185ddf481431b376… |
FRESH |
| binance/globalLongShortAccountRatio_1d | BNB | 30 | 2026-06-25..2026-07-24 | 82e1caf46ee8471e… |
FRESH |
| binance/globalLongShortAccountRatio_1h | BNB | 500 | 2026-07-03..2026-07-24 | 7f2aeca2a22b508d… |
FRESH |
| binance/openInterestHist_1d | BNB | 30 | 2026-06-25..2026-07-24 | bae31bffeedeb6f8… |
FRESH |
| binance/openInterestHist_4h | BNB | 180 | 2026-06-24..2026-07-24 | 614427ca18ef490a… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_15m | BNB | 2880 | 2026-06-24..2026-07-24 | 3ea9264fff5ddddf… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_1d | BNB | 3183 | 2017-11-06..2026-07-24 | 1402486197ab53cd… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_1h | BNB | 17520 | 2024-07-24..2026-07-24 | daaa9600bc210a1a… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_1m | BNB | 2880 | 2026-07-22..2026-07-24 | d4d28db1576b7282… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_4h | BNB | 19079 | 2017-11-06..2026-07-24 | 013da96597d1e86c… |
FRESH |
| binance/spot_klines_5m | BNB | 2880 | 2026-07-14..2026-07-24 | 4d2f3b7355d3cb82… |
FRESH |
| binance/takerlongshortRatio_1d | BNB | 30 | 2026-06-24..2026-07-23 | cc8c0ce0959bd911… |
FRESH |
| binance/takerlongshortRatio_1h | BNB | 500 | 2026-07-03..2026-07-24 | e8da79eeb73c9ad7… |
FRESH |
| binance/topLongShortAccountRatio_1d | BNB | 30 | 2026-06-25..2026-07-24 | 6398c909f26f3d65… |
FRESH |
| binance/topLongShortAccountRatio_1h | BNB | 500 | 2026-07-03..2026-07-24 | 4c9892df3399b1d6… |
FRESH |
| binance/topLongShortPositionRatio_1d | BNB | 30 | 2026-06-25..2026-07-24 | cd785a98bdb4d364… |
FRESH |
| binance/topLongShortPositionRatio_1h | BNB | 500 | 2026-07-03..2026-07-24 | f95176ae07c3acaa… |
FRESH |
| bybit/fundingRate_history | BNB | 5554 | 2021-06-29..2026-07-24 | 7243d21ca1f46513… |
FRESH |
| bybit/open_interest_1d | BNB | 1851 | 2021-06-30..2026-07-24 | 153b26ce0b01e138… |
FRESH |
| bybit/open_interest_4h | BNB | 11106 | 2021-06-29..2026-07-24 | 143ef8ea68251453… |
FRESH |
| okx/fundingRate_history_BNB_USDT_SWAP | BNB | 283 | 2026-04-21..2026-07-24 | 8c2bd76338e400a6… |
FRESH |
| okx/long_short_account_ratio | BNB | 180 | 2026-01-25..2026-07-23 | 52f433b298fb357a… |
FRESH |
| okx/open_interest_history_rubik | BNB | 180 | 2026-01-25..2026-07-23 | 55cbbf847324b1cf… |
FRESH |
| deribit/dvol_bnb | BNB | 0 | - | -… |
DATA_LIMITED |
| deribit/options_oi_iv_bnb | BNB | 0 | - | -… |
DATA_LIMITED |
| onchain/bnb_chain_metrics | BNB | 0 | - | -… |
DATA_LIMITED |
| bybit_funding_history | ADAUSDT | 5863 | 2021-03-18..2026-07-24 | f4e964fca21cc40c… |
FRESH |
| bybit_open_interest_1d | ADAUSDT | 1954 | 2021-03-19..2026-07-24 | 1a33abf168a1d0d0… |
FRESH |
| bybit_open_interest_4h | ADAUSDT | 11724 | 2021-03-18..2026-07-24 | 8c82e3ce6063ae22… |
FRESH |
| fapi_fundingRate | ADAUSDT | 7134 | 2020-01-19..2026-07-24 | d59b7636916a835f… |
FRESH |
| fapi_globalLongShortAccountRatio_1d | ADAUSDT | 30 | 2026-06-25..2026-07-24 | 759ffed366e9f131… |
FRESH |
| fapi_globalLongShortAccountRatio_1h | ADAUSDT | 500 | 2026-07-03..2026-07-24 | f0368e90757d98db… |
FRESH |
| fapi_openInterestHist_1d | ADAUSDT | 30 | 2026-06-25..2026-07-24 | e5b7311c5d3f1ff6… |
FRESH |
| fapi_openInterestHist_4h | ADAUSDT | 180 | 2026-06-24..2026-07-24 | 1f2e294fa2e256a8… |
FRESH |
| fapi_takerlongshortRatio_1d | ADAUSDT | 30 | 2026-06-24..2026-07-23 | a00a00043adbac09… |
FRESH |
| fapi_takerlongshortRatio_1h | ADAUSDT | 500 | 2026-07-03..2026-07-24 | 7979e9cc37de9c0c… |
FRESH |
source: reproduce_leg/…/CROSS_ASSET_INVENTORY.md